Jonathan’s declaration puts some governors at risk

The declaration for next year’s presidential race by Goodluck
Jonathan seems to have created some obstacles for some
serving governors. Jonathan’s declaration has shown that
zoning has been jettisoned in Nigeria’s democracy. This
definitely would transcend all levels of governance where
majority would now carry the vote. Therefore, those
governors who are occupying their seats based on the past
zoning or power-shift arrangements have cause to fear.
Unwittingly, for instance, Governor Godswill Akpabio of Akwa
Ibom state was quoted in ThisDay newspaper of September
8, as saying that “we zoned and we have decided to un-zone,
there should not be any problem about that”. This statement
would hunt some political office holders, very soon.

Majority carrying the vote would not be denominated by only
ethnicity or tribe but also religion. And this is why Governor
Patrick Yakowa of Kaduna State who, like Jonathan, seized
the opportunity created by providence to become what he is
today, might also be affected. In Kaduna State, Muslim
population would definitely vote against Yakowa irrespective
of pretences going on. How it would happen is that any
Muslim that emerges as candidate in another fairly strong
political party in Kaduna State is as good as the elected
Governor. Likewise, Akpabio (an Annang of Ikot-Ekpene axis)
as PDP flag bearer for Akwa Ibom, should a strong character
like Senator Udoedegbe, an Ibibio, flying any other fairly
strong party’s flag would definitely win the governorship of
that State, irrespective of pretences being exhibited by the
so-called different ethnic and support groups.

Jonathan’s situation would be different because from all
indications, there exists no more monolithic North; he has the
support or most northern Christians and with few Muslim
support and majority of the southern voters, he is favoured to
be elected. But that would be the last for the South as the
North would thereafter be monolithic and tossing the
presidency between their Muslim and Christian brothers, in
turns.

With the promise coming from INEC in respect of new Voters
Register and the electorate being conscious, the above
scenario would definitely play out as votes cast would count.

Ike Ohia, PhD, Road 8, Festac Town, LAGOS
ikeohia@yahoo.com

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